GDP revised downward from 3.2% to 2.8% in Q4 2010

These numbers are definitely disappointing.  The initial GDP estimates are much lower than originally estimated. Analysts were expecting 3.4%, but instead got surprised on the downside.

Separate from the direction of revisions, some components in absolute strength are relatively healthy. PCEs came in at an annualized 4.1 percent, compared to 2.4 percent in the third quarter. Nonresidential fixed investment gained 5.3 percent in the latest period, residential investment rose modestly, and net exports improved sharply. In contrast, inventory investment slowed significantly, slicing off 3.7 percentage points from GDP growth. And government purchases declined slightly.

On the inflation front, the GDP price index was little revised, coming in at 0.4 percent, compared to the initial estimate of 0.3 percent. The market median forecast was for 0.3 percent. However, the recent spike in oil prices makes the fourth quarter numbers basically irrelevant.  Via BEA:
Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2010, (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 2.6 percent.


Popular posts from this blog

October retail sales come in strong, especially auto sales

Tea Party Buffalo Pictures

How to spot a fake Tea Partier