CPI inflation up 0.5% in March 2.7% YOY

The CPI index in March jumped 0.5%, matching the increase in February and meeting expectations. Excluding food and energy, the CPI eased to 0.1%, following a 0.2% rise and coming in below analysts' forecast for 0.2%.
By major components, energy jumped 3.5% after surging 3.4% in February. Gasoline increased 5.6%, following a 4.7% hike in February. Food price inflation worsened to a 0.8% gain, following a 0.6% boost in February.

The core was softened by a 0.5% decline in apparel prices, a 0.1% dip in household furnishings, a flat recreation component, and shelter rising only 0.1%. On the upside, notable gains were seen in new & used vehicles, up 0.8%, and public transportation, up 1.3% largely on airline fares. 

Year-on-year, overall CPI inflation worsened to 2.7% (seasonally adjusted) from 2.2% in February. The core rate rose to 1.2% percent from 1.1% on a year-ago basis. On an unadjusted year-ago basis, the headline number was up 2.7% in March while the core was up 1.2%.
Now what is the Fed going to do.  Unemploymennt is going down but slowly, and prices are increasing.  Bernanke seems to think that energy and food inflation is transitory, but we still have to eat and drive don't we?  Via BLS:

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.7 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Gasoline and food prices continued to rise and together accounted for almost three quarters of the seasonally adjusted all items increase in March. The gasoline index posted its ninth consecutive increase and has now risen 14.4 percent over the last three months. The household energy index rose as well, with advances in the fuel oil and electricity indexes more than offsetting a decline in the index for natural gas. The food at home index continued to accelerate in March, rising 1.1 percent as all six major grocery store food groups increased.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.1 percent in March, a smaller increase than in the previous two months. The index for shelter rose slightly, as did the index for medical care. Several transportation indexes posted significant increases, including new vehicles, used cars and trucks, and airline fares. In contrast, the indexes for apparel and for household furnishings and operations both declined in March.

The all items index rose 2.7 percent in the last 12 months, the largest increase since December 2009. The energy index has now risen 15.5 percent over the last 12 months, with the gasoline index up 27.5 percent. The food index has risen 2.9 percent with the food at home index up 3.6 percent. The index for all items less food and energy has increased 1.2 percent with the shelter index up 0.9 percent.


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